Labor market data suggests that the economy is still running hotter than the Fed would like it to

March 13, 2023 – The takeover of Silicon Valley Bank by Federal Regulators last week has ushered in new economic uncertainty to the forecast that has spooked investors and cast doubts about what the Federal Reserve will do at its upcoming meeting, with markets anticipating a less aggressive posture amidst a potentially softer economic backdrop. This uncertainty about broader exposure has fueled a rally in the bond market as investors flee to safety, which has already begun to lower yields and mortgage rates have started to follow suit after above 7% in recent weeks. Still, labor market data suggests that the economy is still running hotter than the Fed would like it to, and the upcoming inflation report will play a large role in whatever action they decide to take later this month.

Source: California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.)